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1/3より多く真占が死ぬと言う理屈には一理はあるが、1/3より多く占い師が死ぬと狼側の戦術として優れると言う根拠もまたここまでをよしとして欲しいな。
あくまでABCDE理論は灰が少ない状態で灰吊りをした方が勝ちやすいと言う話に、占い師が判定を出す回数が増えれば勝率が上乗せされると言う理屈なので占い師は1/3で吊られることを論破してもあまり意味がないように見える。
また別の論点として、占い師の評価が割れていた場合に「どうみても真の占い師を吊った村」と感じてしまう村人が発生する可能性をどう見るのかみたいなところはある。
ふむ。ソニアの話にも一理あるけど、ABCDEさんに甘くない?
これはソニアとABCDEさんが狼で、私をSGにしようとしているのでは?
私が狼の時に村が「初回占吊りしよーぜー!」って世論になってても、私は「おい、馬鹿!やめろ!」って止めに入らないと思うなー。
占吊りでも灰吊りでも、どっちでもいいと思って傍観しつつ、その話より灰考察とか他の事に喉使って印象稼いだ方がいいかなーってなってると思う。
狂人占い師は襲撃されるよりは吊られたほうが得なので、3人の占い師のうち吊ってはいけないやつは実は二人もいる、という考え方は確かに存在する。
そもそも、どの時代の狼も大抵は村の流れに異論を挟まなかったのでABCDE理論がどうこう言う問題ではないのだよな…。
ABCDE理論の存在する世界、初回狼占い師吊りを回避する動きが強くなるので推理の基準やらなんやらが色々と変わって既存のものとは別のセオリーが発生しそう。
村が潜伏占い師最強だと思ってれば潜伏占い師進行の作戦を立てたし、FO最強だと思っていればFOの作戦を立てた。基本的に村人が最善手だと考える進行を想定して狼は作戦を立てているが、初日FOを主張すると占い師炙り出しだと言われたり潜伏を希望すれば情報を出したがらない狼だなどと言われるわけである。
ABCDE理論は関係ないですな。
確率論以上に、能力的に替えの効かない強力な役職を吊るということ自体に様々な問題が付随してくるのでそこをどう解決するのか、という話になってきそう。
ABCDE理論のある世界では、灰吊りを言うと「貴重な灰縄を浪費させようとしている狼」と言われるよ。
「流行りの戦術」と「最善手」を一緒のものだと考えている恐れがある。
つまり、ツブヤキシローのファンは悪手なのだ。
コーヒーと紅茶、どちらが優れた嗜好品か決める必要がないようにツブヤキシローのファンでもよいのである。
まあ、肉フェスまで出向いて肉を喰うなと言ってしまったのであれば本人は野菜を食べざるを得ない…健康になってしまうだろう。
↓これ?お台場の肉フェスに「動物を殺してほしいですか」って看板出したの?
<https://snjpn.net>
私、庭で野菜を育ててるんだけど、アブラ虫とか毛虫とか殺しまくってるよ。
だって、そうしないと野菜育たないもん。
肉を食べる為に牛を殺すのも、野菜を食べる為に虫を殺すのも大差ないと思うな。
ヴィーガンってお金儲けが目的の新興宗教みたいなもので、壺の代わりに本とか食品売ってるんだと思ってる。
ヴィーガンはわからんけどクリスタルチルドレン界隈や反ワクチン推奨派とかは間違いなく金儲けしようとしてるんじゃないかな。
ふむ。
・「こんなゲームやってて楽しい?と言いながら入村した人」を大目に見る
↓
・不快に思った人が他国に流れる
↓
・瓜科が過疎って滅びる
BANにする方が民度が高いのかもしれない。
瓜科って昔は人が多くて賑わってるイメージだったんだけど、なんで過疎っちゃったの?
瓜科よりは月狼の方が使い勝手が良いのは分かるけど、それで言うと人狼BBSとか議事は?って話になっちゃうし。
別にいる気配は全くないし、メタがち村にも参加してないのに警戒されるqootararaとは一体…。
確かにqootararaが個人的にメタがち村を観戦している/後から観戦する可能性があり、その際、限界を越えたnobumasaを見て掛け持ち調査を実施し、「観戦を楽しみにしてた村をぶち壊してくれた!」と憤慨してくる可能性がないとは言い切れない…。
隣のメタガチ村、欠員2名。
こちらで声かけしておこうか。
熊沢さん、ムラムラしてません?
一緒に遊んで下さいとラブコールを。
路傍の石さんもどうですか?
新着発言はありません。RELOAD最終取得時刻 --:--:--
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